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Wed, 21 Feb 2018
15:49:01 +0000
Explaining the Value Effect in Emerging Markets
Explaining the Value Effect in Emerging Markets: Tangible vs Intangible Information Douglas W. Blackburn and Nusret Cakici A version of this paper can be found here. Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
15:31:32 +0000
Estimize Roundtable: What research duo DataTrek says is next for the markets and crypto
This week on the Estimize Roundtable, Estimize’s CEO, Leigh Drogen and SVP of Media, Christine Short, are joined by DataTrek Co-founders Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe. Now that we are at the midway point of the first quarter, the group discusses the ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
15:25:58 +0000
Why Recent Volatility Is a Gift For Investors
Warren Buffett’s teacher, Benjamin Graham, once wrote: “The investors chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.” The market’s recent volatility can give investors an opportunity to reflect on some common psychological ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
13:28:00 +0000
Psychopaths are not good hedge fund managers, neither are narcissists - Who would have thought?
Wall Street is filled with characters and "personality". I have met my share, but a key question is whether some of these personality extremes actually lead to better returns. I have written about this in my posting The Wisdom of Psychopaths and ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
12:19:55 +0000
6 Big Name Stocks Hedge Fund Managers Are Selling
This post is brought to you by . Sign up for your completely FREE trial today!, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN), Microsoft Corporation (NYSE: MSFT), and Paypal Holdings Inc (NYSE: PYPL) among stocks that top fund managers are selling. ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
11:23:43 +0000
Deficits Do Matter
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has increased the Fed Funds rate by 125 basis points or 1.25% since 2015, which had little effect on bonds until recently. Of late, however, yields on longer-maturity bonds have begun to rise, contributing to anxiety in the ...
Wed, 21 Feb 2018
09:41:30 +0000
Yes, rates and stocks can rise together…. for now
Two weeks ago, an outsized wage number scared enough investors to provoke a long awaited surge in volatility. Last Wednesday, an even bigger upside surprise in actual inflation also spooked investors… for about an hour. Following a brief selloff , ...
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
19:49:29 +0000
Italian election primer: Game of coalitions
Italian general elections will be held on March 4, 2018. The key to power lies not just in forging allegiances, but navigating complex new electoral laws. The election comes against an improving economic picture and Italian equities have performed ...
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
19:20:09 +0000
Cautionary words for investors chasing dividend yield
Scott Davis, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Income Strategies Dividend yield doesn’t tell you about the health of a company — a lesson learned from GE. That, and other cautionary advice from a veteran income investor. Don’t focus too much on ...
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
17:51:53 +0000
Unintended Acceleration – How Inflation Could Impact the Markets
Key Takeaways Market participants seem to have dismissed the recent market rout as being due to short volatility trades unwinding, and inflation concerns have largely dissipated. However, investors should not lose sight of the potential implications ...
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
17:05:50 +0000
5 Things Investors Should Know About China This New Year
Last Friday marked the first day of the Chinese Lunar New Year, also known as the Spring Festival, China’s most important holiday. The fire rooster struts off-stage, clearing the way for the loyal earth dog. According to CLSA’s tongue-in-cheek Feng ...
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
13:09:45 +0000
How Large Speculator Positions in S&P 500 Index Trended Last Week
In the week ending February 16, the S&P 500 Index closed at 2,732.2, a rise of 4.3%, rebounding from the correction that spooked investors for two weeks. The market’s reaction after the inflation report on Wednesday, February 14, is completely opposite to what was expected. The inflation report indicated strong growth in prices, which should have spooked markets, but markets rallied higher after the report.
Tue, 20 Feb 2018
06:56:00 +0000
What’s Next for Investors in the Bond Market
Recent market volatility suggests that investors are questioning whether the post-crisis subpar pace of economic growth, which we dubbed The New Normal, is subsiding. Recent market volatility suggests that investors are questioning whether the post- ...
Thu, 15 Feb 2018
13:56:10 +0000
Three Themes Supporting International Equities
Having any allocation to international equities over the past several years has generally not been productive, but investors’ patience finally began paying off in 2017. Looking ahead, a few key themes may support continued international equity ...
Thu, 15 Feb 2018
08:56:00 +0000
The Treasury Enters a Harsh Battle for Lenders as the Fed Pulls Back
BY JOHN MAULDIN Amid the Fed's balance sheet unwind , the Treasury needs are rising. The Treasury Department estimated that it will borrow $955 billion in FY 2018, $1.083T in FY 2019 and $1.128T in FY 2020. The budget now seems to be very close to ...
Wed, 14 Feb 2018
18:41:06 +0000
PM Perspectives: Shale Drives US to Apex of Global Oil Production
Oil production, driven by shale, has put the US on the brink of surpassing Saudi Arabia and Russia as the world’s biggest producer. The implications for the sector could be significant, says lead energy analyst Noah Barrett. var widget = KV.widget({ ...
Tue, 13 Feb 2018
21:15:02 +0000
North Korea Could Be a Major Political Risk
Geopolitical Factors that Could Derail Stocks in 2018
Tue, 13 Feb 2018
20:30:03 +0000
Speculator Positions on the S&P 500 Last Week
In the week ended February 9, the S&P 500 closed at 2,619.6, depreciating by 5.2%. Among S&P 500 sectors, the energy sector (XLE) had the worst week, with a drop of 8.5%. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s weekly Commitment of Traders report, in the week ended February 9, large S&P 500 speculators decreased their number of net bullish positions from 38,296 contracts to 36,189 contracts.
Tue, 13 Feb 2018
19:43:08 +0000
Can Trade War Spook Stock Markets in 2018?
The biggest political risk to markets could arise from a trade war that has been playing out ever since Donald Trump came to power. President Trump has repeatedly threatened to terminate NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement), which is important to all three member countries: the US, Canada, and Mexico. There has been much discussion ahead of the NAFTA renegotiation deadline in March. The question arises whether abandoning NAFTA could bolster US economic interests.
Sat, 10 Feb 2018
17:20:00 +0000
U.S. Stock Market Signals 'That's All, Folks!' - Time To Buy
So soon? Yes, it looks like the stock market has created a foundation for the next bull market leg.

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